The full 2026 FBS regular season, decoded by the HefML stacked ensemble — win expectations, the projected board, and where the model disagrees with the public line. Projections, not betting advice.
HefML is a stacked three-model ensemble. CFBone (elastic-net), Blue (gradient boosting), and Gryphon (Elo + special teams) each produce a win probability, spread, and total; a meta-model blends them on out-of-fold holdouts and applies a learned home/away bias correction.
Inputs: walk-forward Elo, opponent-adjusted efficiency, QB on/off ratings, transfer-portal net & churn, coaching-cohort signals, rest, travel, talent, returning production (Connelly 2026), and SP+. Spreads carry favorite-size-scaled uncertainty.
Bar = HefML projected wins (FCS games included). Gold dot = SP+ implied wins (same scale as the bar). A dot right of the bar means SP+ expects more wins than HefML's schedule-based projection — often where edges live.
| # | Team | Conf | Elo | SP+ | Exp W | SP+ Exp W | ΔW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana | Big Ten | 1920 | +24.5 | 10.2 | 8.4 | -1.7 |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 1914 | +31.8 | 9.3 | 9.1 | -0.2 |
| 3 | Georgia | SEC | 1913 | +25.5 | 10.2 | 8.5 | -1.7 |
| 4 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 1902 | +25.8 | 10.8 | 8.6 | -2.2 |
| 5 | Oregon | Big Ten | 1898 | +28.3 | 9.4 | 8.8 | -0.6 |
| 6 | Ole Miss | SEC | 1864 | +15.9 | 8.0 | 7.7 | -0.3 |
| 7 | Texas | SEC | 1860 | +23.7 | 7.6 | 8.4 | +0.8 |
| 8 | Miami | ACC | 1841 | +21.0 | 10.3 | 8.2 | -2.1 |
| 9 | Texas A&M | SEC | 1835 | +20.3 | 8.6 | 8.1 | -0.5 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 1823 | +23.1 | 10.1 | 8.3 | -1.8 |
| 11 | Alabama | SEC | 1823 | +18.2 | 8.6 | 7.9 | -0.7 |
| 12 | USC | Big Ten | 1776 | +16.8 | 8.6 | 7.8 | -0.8 |
| 13 | Utah | Big 12 | 1774 | +11.9 | 9.3 | 7.4 | -2.0 |
| 14 | Penn State | Big Ten | 1768 | +15.7 | 9.6 | 7.7 | -1.9 |
| 15 | Oklahoma | SEC | 1767 | +17.2 | 7.2 | 7.8 | +0.6 |
| 16 | LSU | SEC | 1757 | +20.2 | 7.9 | 8.1 | +0.2 |
| 17 | Tennessee | SEC | 1753 | +16.0 | 8.0 | 7.7 | -0.3 |
| 18 | Michigan | Big Ten | 1751 | +16.1 | 7.1 | 7.7 | +0.6 |
| 19 | BYU | Big 12 | 1748 | +15.5 | 8.3 | 7.7 | -0.6 |
| 20 | SMU | ACC | 1745 | +10.9 | 9.3 | 7.3 | -2.0 |
| 21 | Iowa | Big Ten | 1744 | +13.6 | 8.3 | 7.5 | -0.7 |
| 22 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 1739 | +10.0 | 6.9 | 7.2 | +0.3 |
| 23 | Washington | Big Ten | 1738 | +14.5 | 7.5 | 7.6 | +0.1 |
| 24 | Missouri | SEC | 1706 | +14.8 | 7.2 | 7.6 | +0.5 |
| 25 | Virginia | ACC | 1675 | +6.6 | 8.5 | 6.9 | -1.6 |
Expected wins summed over every game on the schedule, including non-FBS opponents (shown as "Buy"). Excluding those understates totals by roughly one win for most Power-conference teams.
For every game with a market line posted this week, HefML's home line beside the public number, and the gap between the two.
| Wk | Matchup | HefML | Public | Δ | Lean | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sacramento State vs North Dakota State | +15.3 | +27.8 | +12.4 | Home +27.8 | 76% |
| 3 | Ohio State vs Kent State | -43.1 | -52.5 | -9.4 | Away +52.5 | 74% |
| 3 | Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan | -15.5 | -24.0 | -8.5 | Away +24.0 | 73% |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee vs Nevada | -2.8 | +5.5 | +8.3 | Home +5.5 | 70% |
| 3 | Wake Forest vs Miami | +13.0 | +21.2 | +8.2 | Home +21.2 | 72% |
| 3 | Kansas State vs Tulane | -12.4 | -20.5 | -8.1 | Away +20.5 | 70% |
| 3 | Baylor vs Louisiana Tech | -9.3 | -17.2 | -7.9 | Away +17.2 | 71% |
| 3 | Texas A&M vs Kentucky | -24.6 | -16.8 | +7.8 | Home -16.8 | 66% |
| 3 | Texas vs UTSA | -22.0 | -29.8 | -7.8 | Away +29.8 | 71% |
| 3 | Florida Atlantic vs Florida International | +1.1 | -6.5 | -7.6 | Away +6.5 | 67% |
| 3 | UCF vs Georgia State | -13.1 | -20.5 | -7.4 | Away +20.5 | 68% |
| 3 | Ole Miss vs LSU | -3.2 | +3.0 | +6.2 | Home +3.0 | 66% |
| 3 | App State vs Charlotte | -13.3 | -19.5 | -6.2 | Away +19.5 | 66% |
| 3 | Clemson vs North Carolina | -9.0 | -3.0 | +6.0 | Home -3.0 | 66% |
| 3 | Michigan vs UTEP | -41.3 | -35.2 | +6.0 | Home -35.2 | 66% |
| 3 | Maryland vs Virginia Tech | -2.9 | +3.0 | +5.9 | Home +3.0 | 65% |
| 3 | Auburn vs Florida | -3.4 | +2.5 | +5.9 | Home +2.5 | 62% |
| 3 | Vanderbilt vs NC State | -9.3 | -3.5 | +5.8 | Home -3.5 | 62% |
| 3 | Texas Tech vs Houston | -13.0 | -7.2 | +5.8 | Home -7.2 | 58% |
| 3 | Rutgers vs USC | +19.1 | +24.5 | +5.4 | Home +24.5 | 65% |
| 3 | Texas State vs North Texas | +2.4 | -3.0 | -5.4 | Away +3.0 | 62% |
| 3 | Minnesota vs Akron | -19.0 | -24.2 | -5.3 | Away +24.2 | 66% |
| 3 | Notre Dame vs Michigan State | -35.0 | -29.8 | +5.3 | Home -29.8 | 60% |
| 3 | Duke vs Stanford | -14.7 | -9.5 | +5.2 | Home -9.5 | 59% |
| 3 | Iowa State vs Bowling Green | -28.9 | -23.8 | +5.1 | Home -23.8 | 60% |
| 3 | South Alabama vs Ohio | +0.6 | -4.2 | -4.8 | Away +4.2 | 63% |
| 3 | Toledo vs Temple | -10.1 | -5.8 | +4.4 | Home -5.8 | 60% |
| 3 | Oklahoma vs New Mexico | -18.7 | -23.0 | -4.3 | Away +23.0 | 63% |
| 3 | Kansas vs Arizona State | +1.5 | +5.5 | +4.0 | Home +5.5 | 62% |
| 3 | TCU vs Arkansas State | -16.5 | -20.2 | -3.8 | Away +20.2 | 61% |
| 3 | Cincinnati vs Miami (OH) | -11.4 | -14.5 | -3.1 | Away +14.5 | 61% |
| 3 | Liberty vs Ball State | -10.9 | -14.0 | -3.1 | Away +14.0 | 60% |
| 3 | Penn State vs Buffalo | -41.6 | -38.5 | +3.1 | Home -38.5 | 61% |
| 3 | Louisville vs SMU | +1.3 | -1.2 | -2.6 | Away +1.2 | 53% |
| 3 | Indiana vs Western Kentucky | -41.9 | -44.2 | -2.4 | — | — |
| 3 | Missouri State vs Marshall | +1.2 | +3.5 | +2.3 | — | — |
| 3 | Pittsburgh vs Syracuse | -13.2 | -11.0 | +2.2 | — | — |
| 3 | Arkansas vs Georgia | +22.6 | +24.5 | +1.9 | — | — |
| 3 | Tennessee vs Kennesaw State | -37.4 | -35.5 | +1.9 | — | — |
| 3 | Virginia vs West Virginia | -11.6 | -10.0 | +1.6 | — | — |
| 3 | Arizona vs Northern Illinois | -33.0 | -34.5 | -1.5 | — | — |
| 3 | Delaware vs Coastal Carolina | -3.3 | -4.8 | -1.5 | — | — |
| 3 | San José State vs Fresno State | +5.1 | +6.5 | +1.4 | — | — |
| 3 | UCLA vs Purdue | -13.1 | -14.5 | -1.4 | — | — |
| 3 | Northwestern vs Colorado | -2.9 | -4.2 | -1.4 | — | — |
| 3 | Central Michigan vs Wyoming | -2.8 | -1.5 | +1.3 | — | — |
| 3 | Louisiana vs UAB | -6.3 | -7.5 | -1.2 | — | — |
| 3 | Alabama vs Florida State | -19.3 | -20.5 | -1.2 | — | — |
| 3 | Rice vs Western Michigan | +10.8 | +9.8 | -1.0 | — | — |
| 3 | Missouri vs Troy | -26.2 | -27.2 | -1.0 | — | — |
| 3 | Southern Miss vs UConn | +2.2 | +3.2 | +1.0 | — | — |
| 3 | Utah vs Utah State | -27.3 | -28.2 | -0.9 | — | — |
| 3 | Colorado State vs BYU | +16.8 | +17.5 | +0.7 | — | — |
| 3 | Old Dominion vs East Carolina | -3.4 | -3.0 | +0.4 | — | — |
| 3 | Jacksonville State vs Georgia Southern | -3.4 | -3.8 | -0.3 | — | — |
| 3 | San Diego State vs James Madison | -2.7 | -2.5 | +0.2 | — | — |
| 3 | South Carolina vs Mississippi State | -3.4 | -3.5 | -0.1 | — | — |
Home-team lines (negative = home favored). Δ = HefML home margin − public home margin; positive means HefML is higher on the home team than the market. Lean shows only where the gap clears the vig-aware threshold (2.5 pts). Cover = the model’s empirical cover probability for the leaned side, from the out-of-fold spread distribution — not an ATS record.
The saved poll artifact still ends at 2025 week 16. Rebuild poll_model.rds (Rscript hefml_poll_model.R) to load the 2026 preseason AP vs merit table.
| 1 | Dell McGee Georgia State · yr 3 | 76 |
| 2 | Phil Longo Sam Houston · yr 2 | 65 |
| 3 | Joe Harasymiak Massachusetts · yr 2 | 59 |
| 4 | Derek Mason Middle Tennessee · yr 3 | 50 |
| 5 | Bryant Vincent UL Monroe · yr 3 | 49 |
| 6 | Tim Albin Charlotte · yr 2 | 49 |
| 7 | Ken Niumatalolo San José State · yr 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Luke Fickell Wisconsin · yr 5 | 44 |
| 9 | Mike Uremovich Ball State · yr 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Alex Mortensen UAB · yr 2 | 42 |
| Wk | Home | Away | Proj Score | Spread | Win% | Total | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alabama | Florida State | 36–17 | +19.3 | 89% | 53 | Alabama |
| 3 | App State | Charlotte | 34–21 | +13.3 | 84% | 55 | App State |
| 3 | Arizona | Northern Illinois | 43–10 | +33.0 | 99% | 53 | Arizona |
| 3 | Arkansas | Georgia | 15–38 | -22.6 | 9% | 53 | Georgia |
| 3 | Auburn | Florida | 28–25 | +3.4 | 58% | 53 | Auburn |
| 3 | Baylor | Louisiana Tech | 32–22 | +9.3 | 74% | 54 | Baylor |
| 3 | Boise State FCS | South Dakota | — | +25.0 | 96% | — | Boise State |
| 3 | Boston College FCS | Maine | — | +17.4 | 90% | — | Boston College |
| 3 | California FCS | Wagner | — | +18.6 | 91% | — | California |
| 3 | Central Michigan | Wyoming | 27–24 | +2.8 | 60% | 51 | Central Michigan |
| 3 | Cincinnati | Miami (OH) | 31–19 | +11.4 | 77% | 50 | Cincinnati |
| 3 | Clemson | North Carolina | 31–22 | +9.0 | 73% | 52 | Clemson |
| 3 | Colorado State | BYU | 18–35 | -16.8 | 13% | 53 | BYU |
| 3 | Delaware | Coastal Carolina | 29–26 | +3.3 | 60% | 55 | Delaware |
| 3 | Duke | Stanford | 34–19 | +14.7 | 84% | 53 | Duke |
| 3 | Florida Atlantic | Florida International | 27–28 | -1.1 | 49% | 55 | Florida International |
| 3 | Georgia Tech FCS | Mercer | — | +23.2 | 95% | — | Georgia Tech |
| 3 | Illinois FCS | Southern Illinois | — | +25.7 | 96% | — | Illinois |
| 3 | Indiana | Western Kentucky | 48–6 | +41.9 | 100% | 55 | Indiana |
| 3 | Iowa FCS | Northern Iowa | — | +31.8 | 98% | — | Iowa |
| 3 | Iowa State | Bowling Green | 40–11 | +28.9 | 95% | 50 | Iowa State |
| 3 | Jacksonville State | Georgia Southern | 29–26 | +3.4 | 58% | 55 | Jacksonville State |
| 3 | Kansas | Arizona State | 25–27 | -1.5 | 46% | 52 | Arizona State |
| 3 | Kansas State | Tulane | 33–21 | +12.4 | 77% | 54 | Kansas State |
| 3 | Liberty | Ball State | 32–21 | +10.9 | 77% | 52 | Liberty |
| 3 | Louisiana | UAB | 30–24 | +6.3 | 68% | 54 | Louisiana |
| 3 | Louisville | SMU | 26–27 | -1.3 | 46% | 53 | SMU |
| 3 | Maryland | Virginia Tech | 27–24 | +2.9 | 60% | 52 | Maryland |
| 3 | Massachusetts FCS | Stonehill | — | +5.9 | 68% | — | Massachusetts |
| 3 | Memphis FCS | UT Martin | — | +22.5 | 95% | — | Memphis |
| 3 | Michigan | UTEP | 46–5 | +41.3 | 100% | 51 | Michigan |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee | Nevada | 28–25 | +2.8 | 58% | 54 | Middle Tennessee |
| 3 | Minnesota | Akron | 35–16 | +19.0 | 84% | 50 | Minnesota |
| 3 | Missouri | Troy | 41–14 | +26.2 | 93% | 55 | Missouri |
| 3 | Missouri State | Marshall | 26–27 | -1.2 | 46% | 54 | Marshall |
| 3 | Nebraska FCS | North Dakota | — | +26.7 | 97% | — | Nebraska |
| 3 | Northwestern | Colorado | 27–24 | +2.9 | 60% | 51 | Northwestern |
| 3 | Notre Dame | Michigan State | 43–8 | +35.0 | 95% | 52 | Notre Dame |
| 3 | Ohio State | Kent State | 48–5 | +43.1 | 100% | 53 | Ohio State |
| 3 | Oklahoma | New Mexico | 36–17 | +18.7 | 84% | 54 | Oklahoma |
| 3 | Oklahoma State FCS | Murray State | — | +13.9 | 85% | — | Oklahoma State |
| 3 | Old Dominion | East Carolina | 29–26 | +3.4 | 58% | 55 | Old Dominion |
| 3 | Ole Miss | LSU | 28–25 | +3.2 | 60% | 53 | Ole Miss |
| 3 | Oregon FCS | Portland State | — | +36.3 | 99% | — | Oregon |
| 3 | Oregon State FCS | Montana | — | +11.5 | 81% | — | Oregon State |
| 3 | Penn State | Buffalo | 46–4 | +41.6 | 99% | 50 | Penn State |
| 3 | Pittsburgh | Syracuse | 33–20 | +13.2 | 84% | 53 | Pittsburgh |
| 3 | Rice | Western Michigan | 21–32 | -10.8 | 27% | 53 | Western Michigan |
| 3 | Rutgers | USC | 16–35 | -19.1 | 10% | 50 | USC |
| 3 | Sacramento State | North Dakota State | 18–33 | -15.3 | 17% | 51 | North Dakota State |
| 3 | Sam Houston FCS | Nicholls | — | +6.1 | 68% | — | Sam Houston |
| 3 | San Diego State | James Madison | 28–26 | +2.7 | 51% | 54 | San Diego State |
| 3 | San José State | Fresno State | 24–29 | -5.1 | 40% | 52 | Fresno State |
| 3 | South Alabama | Ohio | 26–26 | -0.6 | 49% | 52 | Ohio |
| 3 | South Carolina | Mississippi State | 28–25 | +3.4 | 58% | 53 | South Carolina |
| 3 | South Florida FCS | Delaware State | — | +26.1 | 96% | — | South Florida |
| 3 | Southern Miss | UConn | 26–29 | -2.2 | 48% | 55 | UConn |
| 3 | TCU | Arkansas State | 35–19 | +16.5 | 84% | 54 | TCU |
| 3 | Tennessee | Kennesaw State | 46–9 | +37.4 | 96% | 55 | Tennessee |
| 3 | Texas | UTSA | 38–16 | +22.0 | 89% | 54 | Texas |
| 3 | Texas A&M | Kentucky | 39–14 | +24.6 | 93% | 53 | Texas A&M |
| 3 | Texas State | North Texas | 26–28 | -2.4 | 46% | 54 | North Texas |
| 3 | Texas Tech | Houston | 33–20 | +13.0 | 79% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 3 | Toledo | Temple | 31–21 | +10.1 | 74% | 53 | Toledo |
| 3 | Tulsa FCS | East Texas A&M | — | +15.8 | 88% | — | Tulsa |
| 3 | UCF | Georgia State | 34–21 | +13.1 | 79% | 54 | UCF |
| 3 | UCLA | Purdue | 32–19 | +13.1 | 79% | 50 | UCLA |
| 3 | UL Monroe FCS | SE Louisiana | — | +6.9 | 71% | — | UL Monroe |
| 3 | Utah | Utah State | 40–13 | +27.3 | 95% | 53 | Utah |
| 3 | Vanderbilt | NC State | 31–22 | +9.3 | 74% | 53 | Vanderbilt |
| 3 | Virginia | West Virginia | 32–20 | +11.6 | 79% | 52 | Virginia |
| 3 | Wake Forest | Miami | 20–33 | -13.0 | 19% | 53 | Miami |
| 3 | Washington FCS | Eastern Washington | — | +31.5 | 98% | — | Washington |
| 3 | Washington State FCS | Duquesne | — | +19.4 | 92% | — | Washington State |
| 3 | Wisconsin | Eastern Michigan | 33–17 | +15.5 | 84% | 50 | Wisconsin |
| 4 | Akron | UNLV | 22–29 | -7.1 | 33% | 50 | UNLV |
| 4 | Alabama | South Carolina | 34–19 | +14.7 | 84% | 53 | Alabama |
| 4 | Arkansas | Tulsa | 32–21 | +10.8 | 70% | 54 | Arkansas |
| 4 | Arkansas State | Kennesaw State | 28–25 | +2.9 | 58% | 54 | Arkansas State |
| 4 | Auburn | Vanderbilt | 28–25 | +3.2 | 51% | 53 | Auburn |
| 4 | Baylor | Colorado | 28–25 | +2.8 | 60% | 53 | Baylor |
| 4 | Boston College | Virginia Tech | 25–28 | -2.4 | 46% | 53 | Virginia Tech |
| 4 | Bowling Green | South Florida | 17–36 | -19.2 | 10% | 53 | South Florida |
| 4 | Buffalo FCS | Robert Morris | — | +12.2 | 82% | — | Buffalo |
| 4 | California | Clemson | 23–29 | -6.6 | 38% | 52 | Clemson |
| 4 | Charlotte | Louisiana | 22–32 | -9.7 | 28% | 54 | Louisiana |
| 4 | Cincinnati | Kansas State | 26–27 | -0.9 | 49% | 53 | Kansas State |
| 4 | Coastal Carolina | Liberty | 28–25 | +3.4 | 53% | 53 | Coastal Carolina |
| 4 | Duke FCS | William & Mary | — | +28.4 | 97% | — | Duke |
| 4 | East Carolina FCS | North Carolina Central | — | +21.0 | 93% | — | East Carolina |
| 4 | Eastern Michigan FCS | Lindenwood | — | +11.6 | 81% | — | Eastern Michigan |
| 4 | Florida | Ole Miss | 23–30 | -6.7 | 37% | 53 | Ole Miss |
| 4 | Florida International FCS | Long Island University | — | +16.3 | 89% | — | Florida International |
| 4 | Florida State FCS | Central Arkansas | — | +22.8 | 95% | — | Florida State |
| 4 | Fresno State | Rice | 35–19 | +15.6 | 84% | 53 | Fresno State |
| 4 | Georgia | Oklahoma | 34–20 | +14.7 | 84% | 54 | Georgia |
| 4 | Georgia Southern | Houston | 23–32 | -8.8 | 29% | 55 | Houston |
| 4 | Georgia State | Northern Illinois | 33–21 | +12.5 | 77% | 54 | Georgia State |
| 4 | Indiana | Northwestern | 37–13 | +24.2 | 93% | 50 | Indiana |
| 4 | Iowa State | Utah | 23–30 | -7.7 | 33% | 53 | Utah |
| 4 | Jacksonville State | Middle Tennessee | 31–23 | +8.4 | 73% | 54 | Jacksonville State |
| 4 | Kent State | Ball State | 27–24 | +2.9 | 58% | 51 | Kent State |
| 4 | Kentucky | South Alabama | 33–20 | +13.0 | 77% | 54 | Kentucky |
| 4 | LSU | Texas A&M | 27–26 | +1.0 | 49% | 53 | Texas A&M |
| 4 | Louisville | Wake Forest | 28–24 | +4.3 | 62% | 53 | Louisville |
| 4 | Marshall FCS | Gardner-Webb | — | +17.6 | 90% | — | Marshall |
| 4 | Maryland | UCLA | 27–24 | +3.0 | 58% | 51 | Maryland |
| 4 | Miami | Central Michigan | 48–5 | +43.1 | 100% | 53 | Miami |
| 4 | Miami (OH) | UConn | 27–24 | +2.9 | 58% | 50 | Miami (OH) |
| 4 | Michigan | Iowa | 27–24 | +2.8 | 58% | 50 | Michigan |
| 4 | Michigan State | Nebraska | 21–29 | -7.3 | 33% | 50 | Nebraska |
| 4 | Mississippi State | Missouri | 27–26 | +0.4 | 49% | 53 | Missouri |
| 4 | NC State | App State | 35–19 | +16.0 | 84% | 55 | NC State |
| 4 | Nevada | Air Force | 27–24 | +3.0 | 58% | 52 | Nevada |
| 4 | New Mexico State | New Mexico | 20–35 | -14.8 | 17% | 55 | New Mexico |
| 4 | North Texas FCS | Houston Christian | — | +25.9 | 96% | — | North Texas |
| 4 | Ohio FCS | Stonehill | — | +19.0 | 92% | — | Ohio |
| 4 | Ohio State | Illinois | 37–13 | +24.6 | 93% | 50 | Ohio State |
| 4 | Old Dominion | James Madison | 26–29 | -3.6 | 46% | 55 | James Madison |
| 4 | Penn State | Wisconsin | 35–16 | +19.0 | 86% | 50 | Penn State |
| 4 | Pittsburgh FCS | Bucknell | — | +27.0 | 97% | — | Pittsburgh |
| 4 | Purdue | Notre Dame | 13–39 | -26.5 | 6% | 52 | Notre Dame |
| 4 | Rutgers FCS | Howard | — | +16.9 | 90% | — | Rutgers |
| 4 | SMU | Missouri State | 48–7 | +41.7 | 99% | 55 | SMU |
| 4 | Sacramento State | Massachusetts | 27–24 | +2.9 | 58% | 51 | Sacramento State |
| 4 | Stanford | Georgia Tech | 25–28 | -2.6 | 46% | 53 | Georgia Tech |
| 4 | Temple | Army | 29–26 | +2.7 | 49% | 54 | Army |
| 4 | Tennessee | Texas | 28–25 | +3.1 | 53% | 53 | Tennessee |
| 4 | Texas State FCS | Incarnate Word | — | +20.0 | 93% | — | Texas State |
| 4 | Texas Tech | Sam Houston | 49–6 | +42.7 | 100% | 55 | Texas Tech |
| 4 | Toledo | San Diego State | 27–24 | +2.8 | 58% | 50 | Toledo |
| 4 | Tulane | Southern Miss | 34–21 | +13.0 | 84% | 55 | Tulane |
| 4 | UAB | Navy | 24–30 | -6.1 | 37% | 55 | Navy |
| 4 | UCF | TCU | 26–27 | -1.7 | 46% | 53 | TCU |
| 4 | UL Monroe | Florida Atlantic | 23–31 | -8.5 | 32% | 54 | Florida Atlantic |
| 4 | USC | Oregon | 25–25 | +0.6 | 51% | 50 | USC |
| 4 | UTEP | Oregon State | 26–26 | -0.2 | 49% | 52 | Oregon State |
| 4 | UTSA | Colorado State | 33–22 | +11.3 | 79% | 55 | UTSA |
| 4 | Utah State | Troy | 28–25 | +2.7 | 56% | 53 | Utah State |
| 4 | Virginia | Delaware | 40–14 | +26.3 | 93% | 54 | Virginia |
| 4 | Washington | Minnesota | 32–18 | +14.5 | 84% | 50 | Washington |
| 4 | Washington State | Arizona | 23–30 | -7.2 | 37% | 53 | Arizona |
| 4 | West Virginia | Oklahoma State | 32–22 | +9.6 | 77% | 54 | West Virginia |
| 4 | Western Kentucky FCS | Mercyhurst | — | +15.3 | 87% | — | Western Kentucky |
| 4 | Western Michigan | Boise State | 25–25 | -0.5 | 49% | 50 | Boise State |
| 4 | Wyoming | Hawai'i | 26–27 | -0.9 | 49% | 52 | Hawai'i |
| 5 | Air Force | Navy | 25–29 | -4.1 | 46% | 54 | Navy |
| 5 | Arizona | Cincinnati | 28–25 | +3.1 | 60% | 53 | Arizona |
| 5 | Arizona State | Baylor | 29–25 | +4.0 | 64% | 54 | Arizona State |
| 5 | Ball State | Toledo | 18–33 | -15.0 | 17% | 51 | Toledo |
| 5 | Boise State | Utah State | 34–19 | +15.2 | 84% | 52 | Boise State |
| 5 | Buffalo | Western Michigan | 21–29 | -8.0 | 32% | 50 | Western Michigan |
| 5 | Central Michigan | Akron | 27–24 | +2.8 | 58% | 51 | Central Michigan |
| 5 | Charlotte | Memphis | 18–37 | -19.1 | 10% | 55 | Memphis |
| 5 | Clemson | Miami | 20–34 | -14.6 | 17% | 54 | Miami |
| 5 | Coastal Carolina | Georgia Southern | 27–27 | -0.5 | 49% | 54 | Georgia Southern |
| 5 | Colorado | Texas Tech | 19–34 | -15.0 | 17% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 5 | Colorado State | Oregon State | 31–22 | +8.8 | 74% | 52 | Colorado State |
| 5 | Delaware | Liberty | 29–26 | +3.4 | 58% | 55 | Delaware |
| 5 | Florida Atlantic FCS | Texas Southern | — | +16.1 | 88% | — | Florida Atlantic |
| 5 | Florida State | Virginia | 23–30 | -6.5 | 38% | 53 | Virginia |
| 5 | Georgia | Vanderbilt | 36–18 | +17.2 | 84% | 54 | Georgia |
| 5 | Georgia State | Old Dominion | 25–30 | -5.2 | 40% | 55 | Old Dominion |
| 5 | Hawai'i | San José State | 29–24 | +5.0 | 60% | 52 | Hawai'i |
| 5 | Houston | UCF | 31–22 | +9.3 | 77% | 53 | Houston |
| 5 | Illinois | Purdue | 30–20 | +10.6 | 77% | 50 | Illinois |
| 5 | Iowa | Ohio State | 21–29 | -8.0 | 32% | 51 | Ohio State |
| 5 | Iowa State | West Virginia | 31–22 | +8.4 | 74% | 53 | Iowa State |
| 5 | James Madison | Marshall | 34–20 | +14.5 | 84% | 54 | James Madison |
| 5 | Kansas | Middle Tennessee | 36–18 | +18.3 | 84% | 54 | Kansas |
| 5 | Kent State | Ohio | 21–29 | -8.3 | 32% | 51 | Ohio |
| 5 | LSU FCS | McNeese | — | +32.4 | 98% | — | LSU |
| 5 | Louisiana | Arkansas State | 29–26 | +3.4 | 58% | 54 | Louisiana |
| 5 | Louisiana Tech | Army | 32–23 | +9.4 | 68% | 56 | Louisiana Tech |
| 5 | Massachusetts | Eastern Michigan | 25–25 | +0.1 | 49% | 51 | Eastern Michigan |
| 5 | Miami (OH) | Bowling Green | 32–19 | +13.3 | 84% | 51 | Miami (OH) |
| 5 | Minnesota | Michigan | 20–30 | -10.7 | 28% | 50 | Michigan |
| 5 | Mississippi State | Alabama | 23–30 | -7.6 | 33% | 53 | Alabama |
| 5 | Missouri | Florida | 28–25 | +3.2 | 62% | 53 | Missouri |
| 5 | NC State | Louisville | 26–27 | -1.5 | 48% | 53 | Louisville |
| 5 | Nebraska | Maryland | 29–21 | +7.8 | 73% | 50 | Nebraska |
| 5 | New Mexico | UTEP | 35–18 | +16.7 | 89% | 53 | New Mexico |
| 5 | New Mexico State | Western Kentucky | 29–25 | +3.3 | 58% | 54 | New Mexico State |
| 5 | North Carolina | Notre Dame | 17–37 | -20.3 | 9% | 54 | Notre Dame |
| 5 | North Dakota State | Wyoming | 34–19 | +15.0 | 84% | 53 | North Dakota State |
| 5 | Northwestern | Penn State | 20–33 | -12.9 | 21% | 52 | Penn State |
| 5 | Rice | UTSA | 18–37 | -18.7 | 13% | 55 | UTSA |
| 5 | Rutgers | Indiana | 12–38 | -25.5 | 6% | 50 | Indiana |
| 5 | SMU | Boston College | 39–15 | +24.2 | 93% | 54 | SMU |
| 5 | San Diego State | Texas State | 29–24 | +5.6 | 64% | 53 | San Diego State |
| 5 | South Alabama | UL Monroe | 33–20 | +13.0 | 79% | 54 | South Alabama |
| 5 | South Carolina | Kentucky | 32–20 | +11.6 | 77% | 53 | South Carolina |
| 5 | South Florida | Temple | 34–20 | +14.7 | 84% | 54 | South Florida |
| 5 | TCU | BYU | 25–28 | -3.6 | 46% | 53 | BYU |
| 5 | Tennessee | Auburn | 31–22 | +9.3 | 74% | 54 | Tennessee |
| 5 | Texas A&M | Arkansas | 38–14 | +24.3 | 93% | 53 | Texas A&M |
| 5 | Tulsa | North Texas | 23–31 | -8.0 | 33% | 55 | North Texas |
| 5 | UAB FCS | Samford | — | +12.1 | 82% | — | UAB |
| 5 | UConn | Syracuse | 28–25 | +2.8 | 58% | 53 | UConn |
| 5 | UNLV | California | 28–25 | +2.9 | 58% | 52 | UNLV |
| 5 | USC | Washington | 30–20 | +10.2 | 74% | 50 | USC |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | Pittsburgh | 26–27 | -1.2 | 46% | 53 | Pittsburgh |
| 5 | Wake Forest | Stanford | 33–19 | +14.3 | 84% | 52 | Wake Forest |
| 5 | Washington State | Fresno State | 28–24 | +3.2 | 53% | 52 | Washington State |
| 5 | Wisconsin | Michigan State | 27–23 | +3.4 | 58% | 50 | Wisconsin |
| 6 | Akron | Eastern Michigan | 26–25 | +1.2 | 53% | 51 | Akron |
| 6 | Alabama | Georgia | 26–28 | -1.9 | 46% | 55 | Georgia |
| 6 | App State | Old Dominion | 27–28 | -0.3 | 46% | 55 | Old Dominion |
| 6 | Arizona State | Hawai'i | 37–16 | +20.9 | 89% | 53 | Arizona State |
| 6 | Arkansas | Tennessee | 19–33 | -14.0 | 17% | 53 | Tennessee |
| 6 | Arkansas State | South Alabama | 28–25 | +2.8 | 58% | 54 | Arkansas State |
| 6 | Army | Tulane | 27–29 | -2.5 | 46% | 56 | Tulane |
| 6 | BYU | Iowa State | 32–23 | +9.2 | 77% | 54 | BYU |
| 6 | Bowling Green | Sacramento State | 26–25 | +0.9 | 56% | 51 | Bowling Green |
| 6 | California | Virginia Tech | 26–27 | -1.4 | 46% | 53 | Virginia Tech |
| 6 | East Carolina | Rice | 34–19 | +14.8 | 84% | 54 | East Carolina |
| 6 | Florida | South Carolina | 28–25 | +3.1 | 58% | 53 | Florida |
| 6 | Florida International | New Mexico State | 34–21 | +12.6 | 79% | 55 | Florida International |
| 6 | Fresno State | Boise State | 24–28 | -4.1 | 40% | 52 | Boise State |
| 6 | Georgia Southern | James Madison | 24–31 | -7.4 | 33% | 55 | James Madison |
| 6 | Georgia Tech | Duke | 24–28 | -4.5 | 40% | 52 | Duke |
| 6 | Kansas State | Houston | 28–25 | +2.9 | 58% | 53 | Kansas State |
| 6 | Kennesaw State | Jacksonville State | 26–28 | -1.4 | 46% | 54 | Jacksonville State |
| 6 | Kentucky | LSU | 20–35 | -15.0 | 17% | 54 | LSU |
| 6 | Liberty | Sam Houston | 32–21 | +10.8 | 77% | 54 | Liberty |
| 6 | Louisiana Tech | Louisiana | 31–24 | +6.7 | 64% | 55 | Louisiana Tech |
| 6 | Louisville | Florida State | 31–21 | +9.6 | 74% | 53 | Louisville |
| 6 | Marshall | Coastal Carolina | 28–26 | +1.8 | 58% | 54 | Marshall |
| 6 | Massachusetts | Miami (OH) | 21–29 | -7.8 | 32% | 51 | Miami (OH) |
| 6 | Memphis | UAB | 35–19 | +15.7 | 84% | 55 | Memphis |
| 6 | Michigan State | Illinois | 24–26 | -2.6 | 40% | 50 | Illinois |
| 6 | Missouri | Texas A&M | 24–28 | -3.8 | 46% | 53 | Texas A&M |
| 6 | NC State | Wake Forest | 27–26 | +1.1 | 51% | 52 | NC State |
| 6 | Navy | Tulsa | 29–26 | +3.4 | 60% | 55 | Navy |
| 6 | Nebraska | Indiana | 18–32 | -13.9 | 27% | 50 | Indiana |
| 6 | North Texas | Charlotte | 40–15 | +24.6 | 93% | 55 | North Texas |
| 6 | Northern Illinois | Air Force | 24–28 | -4.2 | 38% | 52 | Air Force |
| 6 | Northwestern | Ball State | 37–14 | +23.1 | 93% | 50 | Northwestern |
| 6 | Notre Dame | Stanford | 48–6 | +41.8 | 99% | 54 | Notre Dame |
| 6 | Ohio | Central Michigan | 29–22 | +7.2 | 64% | 50 | Ohio |
| 6 | Ohio State | Maryland | 39–13 | +25.9 | 93% | 52 | Ohio State |
| 6 | Oklahoma | Texas | 26–25 | +0.7 | 49% | 51 | Texas |
| 6 | Oklahoma State | UCF | 23–30 | -6.3 | 38% | 53 | UCF |
| 6 | Oregon | UCLA | 35–16 | +19.1 | 86% | 51 | Oregon |
| 6 | Oregon State | San Diego State | 22–31 | -8.7 | 32% | 52 | San Diego State |
| 6 | Penn State | USC | 27–24 | +3.0 | 58% | 50 | Penn State |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | North Carolina | 29–23 | +6.1 | 68% | 52 | Pittsburgh |
| 6 | Purdue | Minnesota | 24–26 | -1.4 | 46% | 50 | Minnesota |
| 6 | San José State | Wyoming | 30–23 | +6.8 | 64% | 52 | San José State |
| 6 | Temple | UConn | 27–28 | -1.2 | 51% | 55 | Temple |
| 6 | Toledo | Buffalo | 32–19 | +13.0 | 79% | 50 | Toledo |
| 6 | Troy | Southern Miss | 29–24 | +4.9 | 64% | 53 | Troy |
| 6 | UNLV | North Dakota State | 26–26 | -0.9 | 49% | 52 | North Dakota State |
| 6 | UTEP | Nevada | 25–27 | -1.3 | 46% | 52 | Nevada |
| 6 | UTSA | South Florida | 29–26 | +3.0 | 58% | 55 | UTSA |
| 6 | Utah | Kansas | 35–19 | +16.3 | 86% | 54 | Utah |
| 6 | Utah State | Washington State | 25–27 | -1.4 | 48% | 52 | Washington State |
| 6 | Vanderbilt | Ole Miss | 24–28 | -4.1 | 40% | 53 | Ole Miss |
| 6 | Virginia | Syracuse | 34–18 | +16.2 | 86% | 53 | Virginia |
| 6 | Washington | Iowa | 27–24 | +3.0 | 58% | 50 | Washington |
| 6 | West Virginia | Arizona | 26–27 | -1.2 | 46% | 53 | Arizona |
| 6 | Western Kentucky | Missouri State | 27–27 | -0.5 | 49% | 54 | Missouri State |
| 6 | Western Michigan | Kent State | 33–17 | +16.6 | 86% | 50 | Western Michigan |
| 7 | Air Force | UNLV | 24–28 | -4.1 | 46% | 52 | UNLV |
| 7 | Army | Florida Atlantic | 31–25 | +5.8 | 62% | 55 | Army |
| 7 | BYU | Notre Dame | 23–31 | -7.5 | 33% | 54 | Notre Dame |
| 7 | Baylor | TCU | 26–27 | -1.2 | 49% | 53 | TCU |
| 7 | Boston College | Pittsburgh | 22–31 | -8.5 | 29% | 53 | Pittsburgh |
| 7 | Bowling Green | Ball State | 26–25 | +1.0 | 51% | 51 | Bowling Green |
| 7 | Buffalo | Massachusetts | 27–23 | +4.2 | 60% | 51 | Buffalo |
| 7 | California | Wake Forest | 23–30 | -6.9 | 38% | 52 | Wake Forest |
| 7 | Central Michigan | Western Michigan | 20–30 | -10.2 | 28% | 50 | Western Michigan |
| 7 | Clemson FCS | Charleston Southern | — | +27.2 | 97% | — | Clemson |
| 7 | Coastal Carolina | App State | 27–27 | -0.4 | 49% | 55 | App State |
| 7 | Colorado | Utah | 20–34 | -14.7 | 17% | 54 | Utah |
| 7 | Duke | North Carolina | 29–23 | +6.9 | 74% | 52 | Duke |
| 7 | Eastern Michigan | Toledo | 20–30 | -10.4 | 28% | 50 | Toledo |
| 7 | Georgia | Auburn | 37–17 | +20.1 | 89% | 54 | Georgia |
| 7 | Hawai'i | New Mexico | 23–30 | -6.9 | 38% | 53 | New Mexico |
| 7 | Houston | Oklahoma State | 35–19 | +16.2 | 86% | 54 | Houston |
| 7 | Indiana | Ohio State | 25–25 | +0.7 | 58% | 50 | Indiana |
| 7 | Jacksonville State | Florida International | 29–26 | +3.0 | 57% | 55 | Jacksonville State |
| 7 | James Madison | Georgia State | 33–22 | +11.9 | 84% | 55 | James Madison |
| 7 | Kansas State | Kansas | 31–22 | +9.5 | 77% | 53 | Kansas State |
| 7 | LSU | Mississippi State | 31–22 | +9.6 | 74% | 53 | LSU |
| 7 | Louisiana | Troy | 29–26 | +2.8 | 56% | 54 | Louisiana |
| 7 | Maryland | Rutgers | 31–20 | +10.9 | 78% | 50 | Maryland |
| 7 | Miami | Florida State | 39–15 | +24.2 | 93% | 54 | Miami |
| 7 | Miami (OH) | Akron | 31–20 | +11.3 | 77% | 51 | Miami (OH) |
| 7 | Michigan | Penn State | 24–26 | -2.2 | 46% | 50 | Penn State |
| 7 | Michigan State | Northwestern | 25–26 | -1.2 | 48% | 50 | Northwestern |
| 7 | Middle Tennessee | Delaware | 27–28 | -0.5 | 49% | 55 | Delaware |
| 7 | Missouri State | Kennesaw State | 27–28 | -1.0 | 49% | 54 | Kennesaw State |
| 7 | North Dakota State | Nevada | 33–19 | +14.8 | 84% | 52 | North Dakota State |
| 7 | Oklahoma | Kentucky | 34–19 | +15.4 | 86% | 53 | Oklahoma |
| 7 | Old Dominion | Georgia Southern | 29–26 | +3.5 | 62% | 55 | Old Dominion |
| 7 | Ole Miss | Missouri | 30–22 | +7.8 | 68% | 53 | Ole Miss |
| 7 | Oregon | Nebraska | 32–19 | +13.1 | 84% | 50 | Oregon |
| 7 | Oregon State | Washington State | 23–29 | -6.5 | 40% | 52 | Washington State |
| 7 | Purdue | Washington | 18–32 | -14.5 | 17% | 50 | Washington |
| 7 | Rice | Tulsa | 23–30 | -7.1 | 32% | 54 | Tulsa |
| 7 | SMU | Virginia | 31–23 | +8.1 | 74% | 54 | SMU |
| 7 | Sacramento State | Ohio | 22–29 | -7.2 | 38% | 51 | Ohio |
| 7 | Sam Houston | Western Kentucky | 27–27 | +0.4 | 49% | 54 | Western Kentucky |
| 7 | San Diego State | Fresno State | 28–24 | +3.3 | 60% | 52 | San Diego State |
| 7 | South Florida | Kent State | 38–14 | +24.3 | 93% | 52 | South Florida |
| 7 | Southern Miss | Arkansas State | 26–28 | -1.2 | 49% | 54 | Arkansas State |
| 7 | Stanford FCS | Elon | — | +18.7 | 91% | — | Stanford |
| 7 | Syracuse | Louisville | 20–33 | -13.0 | 21% | 53 | Louisville |
| 7 | Temple | Charlotte | 33–21 | +11.5 | 79% | 54 | Temple |
| 7 | Tennessee | Alabama | 26–27 | -1.4 | 48% | 53 | Alabama |
| 7 | Texas | Florida | 31–21 | +9.9 | 77% | 53 | Texas |
| 7 | Texas A&M FCS | The Citadel | — | +35.9 | 99% | — | Texas A&M |
| 7 | Texas State | Colorado State | 28–24 | +3.9 | 58% | 53 | Texas State |
| 7 | Texas Tech | Arizona State | 32–21 | +11.6 | 79% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 7 | Tulane | Memphis | 27–28 | -0.5 | 51% | 55 | Tulane |
| 7 | UAB | East Carolina | 24–30 | -6.2 | 38% | 54 | East Carolina |
| 7 | UCLA | Wisconsin | 30–21 | +9.0 | 77% | 50 | UCLA |
| 7 | UL Monroe | Louisiana Tech | 19–36 | -16.8 | 13% | 55 | Louisiana Tech |
| 7 | UTEP | San José State | 24–28 | -3.9 | 46% | 53 | San José State |
| 7 | UTSA | Navy | 34–21 | +13.0 | 77% | 55 | UTSA |
| 7 | Vanderbilt | Arkansas | 32–21 | +11.5 | 84% | 53 | Vanderbilt |
| 7 | Virginia Tech | Georgia Tech | 28–25 | +2.8 | 58% | 53 | Virginia Tech |
| 7 | West Virginia | Cincinnati | 26–27 | -1.2 | 46% | 53 | Cincinnati |
| 7 | Wyoming | Northern Illinois | 30–22 | +7.7 | 74% | 52 | Wyoming |
| 8 | Alabama | Texas A&M | 28–25 | +3.0 | 58% | 53 | Alabama |
| 8 | App State | James Madison | 23–31 | -8.1 | 33% | 54 | James Madison |
| 8 | Arizona | Iowa State | 27–26 | +0.7 | 58% | 54 | Arizona |
| 8 | Arizona State | Kansas State | 28–26 | +2.8 | 53% | 54 | Arizona State |
| 8 | Arkansas State | Georgia State | 28–26 | +1.8 | 58% | 55 | Arkansas State |
| 8 | Auburn | LSU | 23–30 | -6.5 | 40% | 53 | LSU |
| 8 | Ball State | Sacramento State | 26–25 | +1.1 | 53% | 51 | Ball State |
| 8 | Buffalo | Bowling Green | 30–21 | +8.8 | 74% | 51 | Buffalo |
| 8 | Central Michigan | Miami (OH) | 22–29 | -6.7 | 37% | 51 | Miami (OH) |
| 8 | Cincinnati | Texas Tech | 22–31 | -9.4 | 32% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 8 | Clemson | Virginia Tech | 29–23 | +5.9 | 58% | 52 | Clemson |
| 8 | Colorado State | San Diego State | 27–25 | +1.9 | 49% | 52 | San Diego State |
| 8 | Delaware | Missouri State | 32–23 | +9.2 | 74% | 55 | Delaware |
| 8 | Florida Atlantic | Rice | 32–22 | +9.5 | 74% | 54 | Florida Atlantic |
| 8 | Florida International | Middle Tennessee | 32–23 | +8.8 | 74% | 54 | Florida International |
| 8 | Georgia Tech | Boston College | 30–22 | +7.8 | 68% | 52 | Georgia Tech |
| 8 | Illinois | Oregon | 20–30 | -10.6 | 28% | 50 | Oregon |
| 8 | Kansas | Baylor | 26–27 | -0.5 | 49% | 53 | Baylor |
| 8 | Kennesaw State | Liberty | 28–25 | +3.1 | 58% | 53 | Kennesaw State |
| 8 | Kent State | Akron | 24–26 | -2.4 | 46% | 51 | Akron |
| 8 | Kentucky | Vanderbilt | 22–31 | -9.4 | 28% | 53 | Vanderbilt |
| 8 | Louisiana Tech | Old Dominion | 29–26 | +3.4 | 58% | 55 | Louisiana Tech |
| 8 | Marshall | South Alabama | 27–26 | +1.4 | 56% | 53 | Marshall |
| 8 | Memphis | East Carolina | 32–22 | +10.2 | 74% | 54 | Memphis |
| 8 | Miami | Pittsburgh | 37–18 | +19.0 | 86% | 54 | Miami |
| 8 | Michigan | Indiana | 21–30 | -9.0 | 29% | 50 | Indiana |
| 8 | Minnesota | Iowa | 20–30 | -10.6 | 27% | 50 | Iowa |
| 8 | Mississippi State | Oklahoma | 28–26 | +2.2 | 49% | 54 | Oklahoma |
| 8 | Navy | North Texas | 26–30 | -3.6 | 46% | 55 | North Texas |
| 8 | Nevada | San José State | 26–26 | +0.1 | 51% | 52 | Nevada |
| 8 | New Mexico | North Dakota State | 27–25 | +2.8 | 58% | 52 | New Mexico |
| 8 | North Carolina | Syracuse | 30–22 | +8.5 | 74% | 52 | North Carolina |
| 8 | Northern Illinois | Hawai'i | 22–30 | -7.5 | 38% | 52 | Hawai'i |
| 8 | Northwestern | Rutgers | 29–21 | +8.3 | 74% | 50 | Northwestern |
| 8 | Ohio | Eastern Michigan | 28–22 | +6.1 | 64% | 51 | Ohio |
| 8 | Oklahoma State | Colorado | 23–30 | -7.0 | 33% | 53 | Colorado |
| 8 | SMU | California | 39–15 | +24.2 | 93% | 54 | SMU |
| 8 | Sam Houston | New Mexico State | 27–28 | -0.6 | 49% | 54 | New Mexico State |
| 8 | South Carolina | Tennessee | 24–29 | -5.6 | 40% | 53 | Tennessee |
| 8 | Southern Miss | Louisiana | 26–27 | -1.3 | 46% | 54 | Louisiana |
| 8 | Stanford | NC State | 23–30 | -6.9 | 38% | 53 | NC State |
| 8 | TCU | West Virginia | 31–23 | +8.5 | 74% | 54 | TCU |
| 8 | Texas | Ole Miss | 28–25 | +3.3 | 58% | 53 | Texas |
| 8 | Texas State | Utah State | 30–22 | +7.5 | 73% | 52 | Texas State |
| 8 | Toledo | Western Michigan | 27–24 | +3.2 | 58% | 50 | Toledo |
| 8 | Troy | UL Monroe | 35–18 | +16.7 | 84% | 54 | Troy |
| 8 | Tulane | UTSA | 27–28 | -1.0 | 49% | 55 | UTSA |
| 8 | Tulsa | Army | 29–26 | +3.5 | 58% | 55 | Tulsa |
| 8 | UCF | BYU | 21–32 | -10.6 | 28% | 53 | BYU |
| 8 | UCLA | Michigan State | 31–19 | +11.8 | 79% | 50 | UCLA |
| 8 | UConn | Massachusetts | 31–19 | +12.1 | 77% | 51 | UConn |
| 8 | Utah | Houston | 32–21 | +10.9 | 77% | 54 | Utah |
| 8 | Virginia | Duke | 29–23 | +5.9 | 62% | 52 | Virginia |
| 8 | Washington State | Boise State | 23–29 | -6.9 | 37% | 52 | Boise State |
| 8 | Wisconsin | USC | 16–34 | -18.0 | 17% | 50 | USC |
| 8 | Wyoming | Air Force | 27–24 | +2.7 | 49% | 52 | Air Force |
| 9 | Air Force | UConn | 26–28 | -2.1 | 49% | 53 | UConn |
| 9 | Arkansas | Missouri | 21–32 | -11.4 | 21% | 53 | Missouri |
| 9 | BYU | Arizona State | 31–22 | +8.8 | 74% | 53 | BYU |
| 9 | Boise State | Texas State | 32–21 | +10.9 | 77% | 53 | Boise State |
| 9 | Charlotte | Tulane | 19–36 | -16.2 | 13% | 55 | Tulane |
| 9 | Cincinnati | Utah | 23–31 | -8.1 | 33% | 54 | Utah |
| 9 | Colorado | Kansas State | 23–30 | -6.7 | 40% | 53 | Kansas State |
| 9 | Duke | Boston College | 33–19 | +14.2 | 84% | 52 | Duke |
| 9 | East Carolina | Temple | 30–24 | +6.3 | 64% | 54 | East Carolina |
| 9 | Florida State | Clemson | 28–25 | +2.9 | 51% | 52 | Florida State |
| 9 | Fresno State | Oregon State | 30–22 | +8.7 | 77% | 52 | Fresno State |
| 9 | Georgia | Florida | 37–18 | +19.4 | 89% | 54 | Georgia |
| 9 | Georgia Southern | App State | 29–26 | +3.0 | 58% | 55 | Georgia Southern |
| 9 | Georgia State | Coastal Carolina | 29–26 | +3.4 | 58% | 55 | Georgia State |
| 9 | Indiana | Minnesota | 38–12 | +26.0 | 95% | 50 | Indiana |
| 9 | Iowa | Wisconsin | 32–19 | +13.2 | 84% | 50 | Iowa |
| 9 | Iowa State | Oklahoma State | 34–19 | +14.8 | 84% | 53 | Iowa State |
| 9 | James Madison | Troy | 33–22 | +11.0 | 79% | 54 | James Madison |
| 9 | Liberty | Florida International | 27–28 | -1.2 | 48% | 54 | Florida International |
| 9 | Louisville | Stanford | 34–19 | +15.2 | 86% | 53 | Louisville |
| 9 | Maryland | Illinois | 27–24 | +2.8 | 58% | 50 | Maryland |
| 9 | Memphis | Army | 35–20 | +14.5 | 77% | 55 | Memphis |
| 9 | Middle Tennessee | Kennesaw State | 29–26 | +3.2 | 53% | 55 | Middle Tennessee |
| 9 | Missouri State | Sam Houston | 30–24 | +6.5 | 64% | 54 | Missouri State |
| 9 | NC State | California | 33–20 | +12.5 | 79% | 53 | NC State |
| 9 | Navy | Notre Dame | 16–39 | -23.5 | 6% | 55 | Notre Dame |
| 9 | Nebraska | Washington | 27–23 | +3.3 | 58% | 50 | Nebraska |
| 9 | New Mexico State | Jacksonville State | 24–30 | -6.0 | 40% | 54 | Jacksonville State |
| 9 | North Carolina | Miami | 17–37 | -19.9 | 10% | 54 | Miami |
| 9 | North Dakota State | UTEP | 35–18 | +16.7 | 89% | 53 | North Dakota State |
| 9 | North Texas | Florida Atlantic | 35–21 | +14.5 | 84% | 56 | North Texas |
| 9 | Oklahoma | South Carolina | 31–21 | +10.2 | 77% | 53 | Oklahoma |
| 9 | Old Dominion | Marshall | 31–23 | +7.6 | 74% | 54 | Old Dominion |
| 9 | Ole Miss | Auburn | 31–22 | +9.3 | 77% | 53 | Ole Miss |
| 9 | Oregon | Northwestern | 38–13 | +25.0 | 93% | 51 | Oregon |
| 9 | Penn State | Purdue | 38–12 | +25.7 | 93% | 50 | Penn State |
| 9 | Pittsburgh | Georgia Tech | 31–22 | +8.9 | 74% | 52 | Pittsburgh |
| 9 | Rutgers | Michigan | 17–33 | -16.5 | 17% | 50 | Michigan |
| 9 | Sacramento State | Kent State | 27–24 | +3.4 | 58% | 51 | Sacramento State |
| 9 | San Diego State | Washington State | 29–23 | +5.1 | 68% | 52 | San Diego State |
| 9 | San José State | New Mexico | 23–31 | -8.1 | 29% | 54 | New Mexico |
| 9 | South Alabama | Louisiana Tech | 25–29 | -4.0 | 40% | 55 | Louisiana Tech |
| 9 | South Florida | UAB | 36–17 | +18.9 | 86% | 53 | South Florida |
| 9 | Syracuse | SMU | 18–37 | -19.3 | 13% | 54 | SMU |
| 9 | TCU | Kansas | 31–22 | +8.9 | 74% | 53 | TCU |
| 9 | Texas | Mississippi State | 31–21 | +9.9 | 77% | 52 | Texas |
| 9 | Texas Tech | Arizona | 33–20 | +13.1 | 79% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 9 | UCF | Baylor | 27–26 | +1.1 | 51% | 53 | UCF |
| 9 | UCLA | Nevada | 39–13 | +26.0 | 93% | 51 | UCLA |
| 9 | UL Monroe | Southern Miss | 23–30 | -6.7 | 33% | 54 | Southern Miss |
| 9 | UNLV | Northern Illinois | 36–17 | +19.3 | 89% | 52 | UNLV |
| 9 | USC | Ohio State | 24–26 | -1.3 | 49% | 50 | Ohio State |
| 9 | Utah State | Colorado State | 26–28 | -2.3 | 48% | 54 | Colorado State |
| 9 | Wake Forest | Virginia | 26–27 | -1.2 | 48% | 52 | Virginia |
| 9 | Western Kentucky | Delaware | 25–29 | -4.5 | 38% | 54 | Delaware |
| 9 | Western Michigan | Bowling Green | 34–17 | +16.9 | 89% | 51 | Western Michigan |
| 10 | Akron | Ohio | 24–26 | -2.5 | 46% | 50 | Ohio |
| 10 | App State | Georgia State | 29–26 | +2.9 | 58% | 55 | App State |
| 10 | Arizona | TCU | 27–26 | +1.2 | 53% | 53 | Arizona |
| 10 | Arizona State | Colorado | 31–24 | +7.1 | 73% | 54 | Arizona State |
| 10 | Arkansas State | UL Monroe | 34–19 | +14.6 | 84% | 54 | Arkansas State |
| 10 | Army | Air Force | 31–23 | +7.5 | 73% | 54 | Army |
| 10 | Auburn | Arkansas | 34–19 | +14.6 | 79% | 53 | Auburn |
| 10 | Baylor | Iowa State | 27–28 | -1.1 | 49% | 54 | Iowa State |
| 10 | Boston College | Florida State | 25–27 | -1.7 | 46% | 52 | Florida State |
| 10 | Coastal Carolina | Old Dominion | 26–28 | -1.7 | 46% | 55 | Old Dominion |
| 10 | Colorado State | Boise State | 23–30 | -6.6 | 38% | 52 | Boise State |
| 10 | East Carolina | South Florida | 24–30 | -6.1 | 40% | 55 | South Florida |
| 10 | Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan | 27–24 | +2.4 | 51% | 51 | Eastern Michigan |
| 10 | Florida | Oklahoma | 26–27 | -1.2 | 49% | 53 | Oklahoma |
| 10 | Florida Atlantic | UTSA | 22–33 | -10.4 | 28% | 55 | UTSA |
| 10 | Florida International | Missouri State | 32–22 | +9.3 | 77% | 54 | Florida International |
| 10 | Georgia Southern | Marshall | 30–25 | +5.1 | 64% | 54 | Georgia Southern |
| 10 | Georgia Tech | Louisville | 23–30 | -7.1 | 33% | 52 | Louisville |
| 10 | Houston | Cincinnati | 28–25 | +3.8 | 64% | 53 | Houston |
| 10 | Illinois | Nebraska | 24–26 | -2.4 | 46% | 50 | Nebraska |
| 10 | Jacksonville State | Sam Houston | 34–21 | +12.8 | 84% | 55 | Jacksonville State |
| 10 | Kansas | UCF | 28–25 | +2.8 | 58% | 53 | Kansas |
| 10 | Kansas State | Oklahoma State | 37–18 | +19.0 | 89% | 54 | Kansas State |
| 10 | Kennesaw State | Delaware | 27–28 | -1.1 | 49% | 55 | Delaware |
| 10 | LSU | Alabama | 28–25 | +2.5 | 49% | 53 | Alabama |
| 10 | Louisiana | South Alabama | 29–26 | +2.8 | 60% | 55 | Louisiana |
| 10 | Massachusetts | Ball State | 27–23 | +4.4 | 62% | 51 | Massachusetts |
| 10 | Miami (OH) | Buffalo | 30–20 | +9.6 | 77% | 51 | Miami (OH) |
| 10 | Michigan | Michigan State | 33–17 | +16.3 | 84% | 50 | Michigan |
| 10 | Middle Tennessee | Western Kentucky | 30–24 | +5.7 | 64% | 54 | Middle Tennessee |
| 10 | Minnesota | UCLA | 22–28 | -6.1 | 46% | 50 | UCLA |
| 10 | Mississippi State | Vanderbilt | 28–25 | +3.6 | 58% | 53 | Mississippi State |
| 10 | Missouri | Texas | 26–26 | -0.2 | 49% | 53 | Texas |
| 10 | NC State | Duke | 26–27 | -0.9 | 49% | 52 | Duke |
| 10 | Navy | Temple | 31–24 | +7.3 | 64% | 55 | Navy |
| 10 | Nevada | New Mexico | 22–32 | -10.5 | 28% | 54 | New Mexico |
| 10 | New Mexico State | Liberty | 27–26 | +1.1 | 49% | 54 | Liberty |
| 10 | North Texas | Rice | 38–16 | +21.6 | 89% | 54 | North Texas |
| 10 | Northwestern | Iowa | 20–30 | -10.4 | 29% | 50 | Iowa |
| 10 | Notre Dame | Miami | 30–24 | +6.2 | 68% | 54 | Notre Dame |
| 10 | Ohio State | Oregon | 28–23 | +5.8 | 74% | 51 | Ohio State |
| 10 | Ole Miss | Georgia | 24–31 | -6.7 | 37% | 55 | Georgia |
| 10 | Oregon State | Texas State | 25–27 | -2.1 | 46% | 52 | Texas State |
| 10 | Purdue | Maryland | 21–29 | -7.6 | 33% | 50 | Maryland |
| 10 | SMU | Virginia Tech | 35–19 | +15.5 | 84% | 54 | SMU |
| 10 | Sacramento State | Toledo | 20–31 | -11.4 | 27% | 51 | Toledo |
| 10 | San José State | Northern Illinois | 33–19 | +13.7 | 79% | 53 | San José State |
| 10 | South Carolina | Texas A&M | 22–31 | -9.2 | 32% | 53 | Texas A&M |
| 10 | Southern Miss | James Madison | 20–34 | -14.2 | 17% | 55 | James Madison |
| 10 | Syracuse | Clemson | 24–29 | -5.1 | 40% | 52 | Clemson |
| 10 | Tennessee | Kentucky | 37–16 | +20.4 | 89% | 53 | Tennessee |
| 10 | Texas Tech | West Virginia | 35–18 | +16.7 | 89% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 10 | Troy | Louisiana Tech | 27–28 | -1.1 | 49% | 55 | Louisiana Tech |
| 10 | Tulane | Tulsa | 31–23 | +8.0 | 74% | 55 | Tulane |
| 10 | UAB | Charlotte | 32–23 | +8.9 | 74% | 55 | UAB |
| 10 | UConn | North Carolina | 25–27 | -2.2 | 46% | 52 | North Carolina |
| 10 | UNLV | Wyoming | 32–20 | +11.3 | 79% | 52 | UNLV |
| 10 | UTEP | Hawai'i | 24–29 | -4.9 | 46% | 52 | Hawai'i |
| 10 | Utah | BYU | 28–25 | +3.7 | 60% | 53 | Utah |
| 10 | Utah State | Fresno State | 24–28 | -3.5 | 46% | 52 | Fresno State |
| 10 | Wake Forest FCS | Merrimack | — | +24.2 | 96% | — | Wake Forest |
| 10 | Washington | Penn State | 25–27 | -2.3 | 49% | 52 | Penn State |
| 10 | Wisconsin | Rutgers | 27–23 | +3.7 | 64% | 50 | Wisconsin |
| 11 | Air Force | San José State | 26–26 | -0.5 | 53% | 52 | Air Force |
| 11 | Akron | Western Michigan | 20–30 | -10.7 | 27% | 50 | Western Michigan |
| 11 | Arizona | Utah | 23–30 | -7.4 | 33% | 53 | Utah |
| 11 | Arkansas | South Carolina | 23–30 | -6.8 | 33% | 53 | South Carolina |
| 11 | BYU | Baylor | 32–21 | +11.5 | 84% | 53 | BYU |
| 11 | Ball State | Buffalo | 23–27 | -4.1 | 40% | 51 | Buffalo |
| 11 | Boise State | Oregon State | 34–18 | +15.8 | 86% | 53 | Boise State |
| 11 | Bowling Green | Kent State | 25–25 | -0.2 | 49% | 51 | Kent State |
| 11 | Central Michigan | Sacramento State | 27–24 | +3.1 | 64% | 51 | Central Michigan |
| 11 | Charlotte | East Carolina | 21–34 | -13.2 | 21% | 54 | East Carolina |
| 11 | Clemson | Georgia Tech | 28–24 | +3.4 | 58% | 52 | Clemson |
| 11 | Coastal Carolina | Arkansas State | 28–25 | +3.2 | 58% | 54 | Coastal Carolina |
| 11 | Colorado | Houston | 25–28 | -2.3 | 46% | 53 | Houston |
| 11 | Delaware | Florida International | 28–27 | +1.8 | 56% | 55 | Delaware |
| 11 | Georgia | Missouri | 35–19 | +15.9 | 86% | 54 | Georgia |
| 11 | Georgia State | Georgia Southern | 29–26 | +2.9 | 51% | 55 | Georgia State |
| 11 | Hawai'i | North Dakota State | 22–29 | -6.8 | 40% | 52 | North Dakota State |
| 11 | Indiana | USC | 27–23 | +4.6 | 74% | 50 | Indiana |
| 11 | Iowa | Purdue | 34–17 | +17.0 | 89% | 50 | Iowa |
| 11 | Iowa State | Cincinnati | 28–25 | +2.8 | 58% | 53 | Iowa State |
| 11 | Kentucky | Florida | 23–30 | -7.6 | 32% | 53 | Florida |
| 11 | LSU | Texas | 28–25 | +3.5 | 58% | 53 | LSU |
| 11 | Liberty | Middle Tennessee | 30–24 | +6.1 | 58% | 54 | Liberty |
| 11 | Louisiana Tech | Southern Miss | 33–22 | +10.9 | 77% | 55 | Louisiana Tech |
| 11 | Marshall | App State | 26–28 | -2.1 | 49% | 53 | App State |
| 11 | Maryland | Wisconsin | 29–21 | +7.7 | 74% | 50 | Maryland |
| 11 | Miami | Duke | 35–19 | +15.9 | 84% | 54 | Miami |
| 11 | Miami (OH) | Ohio | 27–23 | +4.2 | 62% | 50 | Miami (OH) |
| 11 | Michigan State | Washington | 20–30 | -10.3 | 28% | 50 | Washington |
| 11 | Mississippi State | Auburn | 29–25 | +3.5 | 60% | 54 | Mississippi State |
| 11 | Missouri State | New Mexico State | 29–25 | +3.5 | 58% | 54 | Missouri State |
| 11 | NC State | Syracuse | 32–21 | +11.0 | 77% | 53 | NC State |
| 11 | New Mexico | UNLV | 31–22 | +8.9 | 74% | 52 | New Mexico |
| 11 | North Carolina | Louisville | 23–30 | -7.4 | 40% | 53 | Louisville |
| 11 | Northern Illinois | Nevada | 23–29 | -6.7 | 38% | 52 | Nevada |
| 11 | Notre Dame | Boston College | 48–7 | +41.2 | 99% | 54 | Notre Dame |
| 11 | Ohio State | Northwestern | 40–10 | +29.5 | 95% | 50 | Ohio State |
| 11 | Oklahoma | Ole Miss | 28–25 | +2.9 | 53% | 53 | Oklahoma |
| 11 | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | 17–36 | -19.7 | 9% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 11 | Oregon | Michigan | 31–20 | +10.9 | 79% | 50 | Oregon |
| 11 | Penn State | Minnesota | 36–14 | +22.0 | 89% | 50 | Penn State |
| 11 | Pittsburgh | Florida State | 30–22 | +8.0 | 70% | 52 | Pittsburgh |
| 11 | Rice | Tulane | 19–35 | -15.8 | 17% | 54 | Tulane |
| 11 | Rutgers | Nebraska | 19–31 | -12.1 | 21% | 50 | Nebraska |
| 11 | SMU | Wake Forest | 34–21 | +13.1 | 84% | 54 | SMU |
| 11 | Sam Houston | Kennesaw State | 25–30 | -4.6 | 40% | 55 | Kennesaw State |
| 11 | San Diego State | Utah State | 32–21 | +10.9 | 77% | 52 | San Diego State |
| 11 | South Alabama | Troy | 27–27 | -0.4 | 49% | 54 | Troy |
| 11 | South Florida | Memphis | 29–26 | +2.9 | 58% | 55 | South Florida |
| 11 | TCU | Kansas State | 27–26 | +1.0 | 51% | 53 | TCU |
| 11 | Temple | UAB | 29–24 | +4.3 | 62% | 53 | Temple |
| 11 | Texas A&M | Tennessee | 29–23 | +6.0 | 68% | 53 | Texas A&M |
| 11 | Texas State | Fresno State | 28–24 | +3.4 | 58% | 52 | Texas State |
| 11 | Toledo | Massachusetts | 33–17 | +16.2 | 84% | 51 | Toledo |
| 11 | Tulsa | Florida Atlantic | 30–25 | +4.5 | 64% | 55 | Tulsa |
| 11 | UCF | Arizona State | 26–27 | -1.6 | 46% | 53 | Arizona State |
| 11 | UCLA | Illinois | 28–23 | +4.9 | 64% | 50 | UCLA |
| 11 | UConn | James Madison | 23–30 | -7.2 | 33% | 53 | James Madison |
| 11 | UL Monroe | Louisiana | 21–32 | -11.2 | 19% | 53 | Louisiana |
| 11 | UTEP | Wyoming | 26–27 | -1.0 | 49% | 52 | Wyoming |
| 11 | UTSA | North Texas | 29–26 | +3.3 | 58% | 55 | UTSA |
| 11 | Vanderbilt | Alabama | 23–30 | -7.3 | 33% | 53 | Alabama |
| 11 | Virginia | California | 35–19 | +15.9 | 89% | 54 | Virginia |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | Stanford | 32–21 | +10.9 | 77% | 53 | Virginia Tech |
| 11 | Washington State | Colorado State | 28–25 | +2.7 | 58% | 54 | Washington State |
| 11 | West Virginia | Kansas | 28–25 | +3.4 | 58% | 53 | West Virginia |
| 11 | Western Kentucky | Jacksonville State | 24–29 | -5.2 | 32% | 54 | Jacksonville State |
| 12 | Air Force | UTEP | 30–22 | +7.8 | 74% | 52 | Air Force |
| 12 | Alabama FCS | Chattanooga | — | +35.4 | 99% | — | Alabama |
| 12 | App State | UL Monroe | 35–19 | +15.4 | 84% | 54 | App State |
| 12 | Arizona State | Oklahoma State | 35–19 | +16.0 | 86% | 55 | Arizona State |
| 12 | Army | East Carolina | 27–27 | -0.0 | 53% | 55 | Army |
| 12 | Auburn FCS | Samford | — | +27.1 | 97% | — | Auburn |
| 12 | Baylor | Texas Tech | 21–32 | -11.2 | 28% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 12 | Boise State | San Diego State | 31–22 | +8.6 | 70% | 53 | Boise State |
| 12 | Boston College | Syracuse | 27–26 | +1.0 | 53% | 53 | Boston College |
| 12 | Buffalo | Central Michigan | 27–24 | +2.9 | 58% | 51 | Buffalo |
| 12 | California | Stanford | 28–25 | +3.3 | 58% | 52 | California |
| 12 | Cincinnati | Colorado | 29–25 | +4.1 | 64% | 54 | Cincinnati |
| 12 | Duke | Clemson | 30–22 | +7.5 | 70% | 52 | Duke |
| 12 | Florida | Vanderbilt | 28–25 | +3.0 | 58% | 53 | Florida |
| 12 | Florida Atlantic | South Florida | 22–32 | -10.6 | 28% | 54 | South Florida |
| 12 | Florida State | NC State | 26–27 | -0.9 | 49% | 53 | NC State |
| 12 | Fresno State | Colorado State | 26–26 | +0.1 | 58% | 52 | Fresno State |
| 12 | Georgia Tech | Wake Forest | 25–27 | -2.4 | 46% | 52 | Wake Forest |
| 12 | Illinois | Iowa | 22–29 | -7.2 | 37% | 50 | Iowa |
| 12 | Jacksonville State | Missouri State | 32–22 | +10.2 | 77% | 54 | Jacksonville State |
| 12 | Kansas | BYU | 21–32 | -10.0 | 28% | 53 | BYU |
| 12 | Kansas State | Arizona | 30–23 | +7.3 | 64% | 53 | Kansas State |
| 12 | Kennesaw State | Florida International | 26–29 | -2.3 | 46% | 55 | Florida International |
| 12 | Kent State | Miami (OH) | 20–30 | -9.7 | 27% | 51 | Miami (OH) |
| 12 | Liberty | Western Kentucky | 31–22 | +8.6 | 74% | 53 | Liberty |
| 12 | Louisiana | Coastal Carolina | 29–26 | +3.4 | 60% | 55 | Louisiana |
| 12 | Louisiana Tech | Arkansas State | 31–24 | +7.1 | 73% | 55 | Louisiana Tech |
| 12 | Louisville | Pittsburgh | 30–23 | +6.9 | 64% | 53 | Louisville |
| 12 | Marshall | Georgia State | 26–28 | -1.4 | 49% | 54 | Georgia State |
| 12 | Massachusetts | Akron | 27–24 | +3.1 | 58% | 51 | Massachusetts |
| 12 | Miami | Virginia Tech | 40–14 | +25.9 | 93% | 55 | Miami |
| 12 | Michigan | UCLA | 29–21 | +7.7 | 74% | 50 | Michigan |
| 12 | Michigan State | Oregon | 16–35 | -18.9 | 13% | 50 | Oregon |
| 12 | Minnesota | Northwestern | 25–26 | -1.0 | 49% | 50 | Northwestern |
| 12 | Mississippi State FCS | Tennessee Tech | — | +25.1 | 96% | — | Mississippi State |
| 12 | Missouri | Kentucky | 34–19 | +15.1 | 84% | 53 | Missouri |
| 12 | Navy | Memphis | 26–30 | -3.8 | 49% | 56 | Memphis |
| 12 | Nebraska | Ohio State | 19–32 | -12.7 | 27% | 50 | Ohio State |
| 12 | Nevada | Hawai'i | 28–24 | +3.3 | 58% | 52 | Nevada |
| 12 | New Mexico State | Delaware | 27–28 | -1.8 | 46% | 55 | Delaware |
| 12 | North Dakota State | Northern Illinois | 38–13 | +25.3 | 93% | 52 | North Dakota State |
| 12 | Notre Dame | SMU | 34–20 | +13.6 | 84% | 54 | Notre Dame |
| 12 | Ohio | Ball State | 30–21 | +9.5 | 79% | 51 | Ohio |
| 12 | Oklahoma | Texas A&M | 26–27 | -1.4 | 49% | 53 | Texas A&M |
| 12 | Ole Miss FCS | Wofford | — | +37.2 | 99% | — | Ole Miss |
| 12 | Oregon State | Utah State | 27–26 | +1.1 | 51% | 53 | Oregon State |
| 12 | Penn State | Rutgers | 38–12 | +26.2 | 93% | 50 | Penn State |
| 12 | Purdue | Wisconsin | 24–26 | -1.3 | 49% | 50 | Wisconsin |
| 12 | Sam Houston | Middle Tennessee | 27–28 | -1.3 | 46% | 55 | Middle Tennessee |
| 12 | San José State | UNLV | 25–27 | -2.3 | 46% | 52 | UNLV |
| 12 | South Carolina | Georgia | 18–37 | -19.0 | 13% | 55 | Georgia |
| 12 | Southern Miss | South Alabama | 27–27 | -0.1 | 49% | 54 | South Alabama |
| 12 | TCU | Utah | 24–30 | -6.8 | 38% | 54 | Utah |
| 12 | Temple | Rice | 32–22 | +9.5 | 77% | 54 | Temple |
| 12 | Tennessee | LSU | 27–27 | -0.4 | 51% | 54 | Tennessee |
| 12 | Texas | Arkansas | 38–15 | +22.4 | 93% | 53 | Texas |
| 12 | Texas State | Washington State | 27–25 | +2.8 | 58% | 52 | Texas State |
| 12 | Toledo | Bowling Green | 34–17 | +17.0 | 86% | 51 | Toledo |
| 12 | Troy | Georgia Southern | 28–27 | +1.2 | 51% | 54 | Troy |
| 12 | Tulane | North Texas | 27–28 | -0.6 | 49% | 55 | North Texas |
| 12 | Tulsa | Charlotte | 35–20 | +14.8 | 84% | 55 | Tulsa |
| 12 | UAB | UTSA | 21–34 | -13.0 | 17% | 55 | UTSA |
| 12 | UCF | Iowa State | 27–28 | -1.2 | 49% | 54 | Iowa State |
| 12 | UConn | Old Dominion | 28–25 | +2.7 | 49% | 53 | Old Dominion |
| 12 | USC | Maryland | 34–17 | +16.6 | 88% | 50 | USC |
| 12 | Virginia | North Carolina | 32–21 | +10.9 | 79% | 52 | Virginia |
| 12 | Washington | Indiana | 21–29 | -8.2 | 33% | 50 | Indiana |
| 12 | West Virginia | Houston | 26–27 | -1.8 | 40% | 53 | Houston |
| 12 | Western Michigan | Eastern Michigan | 31–20 | +10.8 | 79% | 50 | Western Michigan |
| 12 | Wyoming | New Mexico | 20–33 | -13.3 | 17% | 54 | New Mexico |
| 13 | Akron | Buffalo | 25–26 | -1.1 | 49% | 51 | Buffalo |
| 13 | Alabama | Auburn | 34–20 | +14.3 | 84% | 54 | Alabama |
| 13 | Arizona | Arizona State | 26–27 | -0.9 | 49% | 53 | Arizona State |
| 13 | Arkansas | LSU | 19–35 | -16.1 | 13% | 54 | LSU |
| 13 | Arkansas State | Troy | 28–26 | +2.2 | 51% | 54 | Arkansas State |
| 13 | BYU | Cincinnati | 32–21 | +10.8 | 79% | 53 | BYU |
| 13 | Ball State | Central Michigan | 24–26 | -2.3 | 46% | 51 | Central Michigan |
| 13 | Bowling Green | Massachusetts | 24–27 | -2.7 | 46% | 51 | Massachusetts |
| 13 | California | Pittsburgh | 23–30 | -7.2 | 33% | 53 | Pittsburgh |
| 13 | Charlotte | Navy | 20–35 | -15.0 | 17% | 55 | Navy |
| 13 | Clemson | South Carolina | 25–28 | -2.7 | 46% | 52 | South Carolina |
| 13 | Colorado | UCF | 29–25 | +3.4 | 60% | 54 | Colorado |
| 13 | Delaware | Jacksonville State | 29–26 | +3.3 | 58% | 55 | Delaware |
| 13 | East Carolina | Florida Atlantic | 32–23 | +8.4 | 70% | 55 | East Carolina |
| 13 | Eastern Michigan | Kent State | 29–22 | +6.8 | 64% | 51 | Eastern Michigan |
| 13 | Florida International | Sam Houston | 34–20 | +14.2 | 84% | 55 | Florida International |
| 13 | Florida State | Florida | 23–30 | -7.0 | 37% | 53 | Florida |
| 13 | Georgia | Georgia Tech | 45–10 | +34.6 | 99% | 54 | Georgia |
| 13 | Georgia Southern | Louisiana Tech | 28–27 | +0.7 | 49% | 55 | Louisiana Tech |
| 13 | Georgia State | Louisiana | 28–25 | +3.2 | 58% | 54 | Georgia State |
| 13 | Hawai'i | Sacramento State | 29–22 | +7.2 | 74% | 51 | Hawai'i |
| 13 | Houston | Baylor | 30–23 | +7.3 | 73% | 53 | Houston |
| 13 | Indiana | Purdue | 39–11 | +27.7 | 99% | 50 | Indiana |
| 13 | Iowa | Nebraska | 27–24 | +3.1 | 58% | 50 | Iowa |
| 13 | Iowa State | Kansas State | 28–25 | +2.5 | 49% | 53 | Kansas State |
| 13 | James Madison | Coastal Carolina | 34–21 | +13.3 | 84% | 55 | James Madison |
| 13 | Kentucky | Louisville | 22–30 | -7.8 | 29% | 53 | Louisville |
| 13 | Maryland | Penn State | 21–32 | -10.4 | 28% | 53 | Penn State |
| 13 | Memphis | Temple | 34–20 | +13.6 | 79% | 54 | Memphis |
| 13 | Miami | Boston College | 46–9 | +36.5 | 99% | 55 | Miami |
| 13 | Middle Tennessee | New Mexico State | 31–24 | +6.7 | 64% | 55 | Middle Tennessee |
| 13 | Missouri | Oklahoma | 27–26 | +0.8 | 49% | 53 | Oklahoma |
| 13 | Missouri State | Liberty | 26–27 | -1.0 | 49% | 54 | Liberty |
| 13 | New Mexico | Air Force | 34–18 | +15.9 | 84% | 52 | New Mexico |
| 13 | North Carolina | NC State | 27–25 | +2.2 | 49% | 52 | NC State |
| 13 | North Texas | UAB | 35–19 | +16.4 | 86% | 54 | North Texas |
| 13 | Northern Illinois | UTEP | 25–27 | -2.1 | 49% | 52 | UTEP |
| 13 | Northwestern | Illinois | 24–26 | -1.3 | 49% | 50 | Illinois |
| 13 | Ohio | Toledo | 23–27 | -3.7 | 40% | 50 | Toledo |
| 13 | Ohio State | Michigan | 33–18 | +14.8 | 84% | 50 | Ohio State |
| 13 | Oklahoma State | Kansas | 23–30 | -6.7 | 33% | 53 | Kansas |
| 13 | Old Dominion | Southern Miss | 33–22 | +10.9 | 79% | 54 | Old Dominion |
| 13 | Ole Miss | Mississippi State | 31–22 | +8.7 | 74% | 53 | Ole Miss |
| 13 | Oregon | Washington | 31–20 | +11.2 | 77% | 51 | Oregon |
| 13 | Rice | Army | 23–30 | -7.3 | 33% | 54 | Army |
| 13 | Rutgers | Michigan State | 25–26 | -1.2 | 49% | 50 | Michigan State |
| 13 | San José State | North Dakota State | 23–30 | -7.2 | 33% | 53 | North Dakota State |
| 13 | South Alabama | App State | 27–28 | -1.1 | 49% | 55 | App State |
| 13 | South Florida | Tulane | 29–26 | +2.9 | 60% | 54 | South Florida |
| 13 | Stanford | SMU | 18–37 | -18.8 | 10% | 54 | SMU |
| 13 | Syracuse | Notre Dame | 14–40 | -25.9 | 6% | 55 | Notre Dame |
| 13 | Texas A&M | Texas | 28–25 | +3.6 | 60% | 53 | Texas A&M |
| 13 | Texas Tech | TCU | 32–21 | +10.8 | 77% | 53 | Texas Tech |
| 13 | UCLA | USC | 20–30 | -9.3 | 29% | 50 | USC |
| 13 | UL Monroe | Marshall | 23–30 | -7.3 | 33% | 53 | Marshall |
| 13 | UNLV | Nevada | 31–22 | +9.1 | 74% | 52 | UNLV |
| 13 | UTSA | Tulsa | 33–22 | +11.1 | 77% | 55 | UTSA |
| 13 | Utah | West Virginia | 35–19 | +15.9 | 89% | 55 | Utah |
| 13 | Vanderbilt | Tennessee | 25–28 | -2.6 | 46% | 53 | Tennessee |
| 13 | Virginia Tech | Virginia | 23–30 | -7.4 | 33% | 53 | Virginia |
| 13 | Wake Forest | Duke | 27–24 | +2.9 | 53% | 52 | Wake Forest |
| 13 | Western Kentucky | Kennesaw State | 25–29 | -4.4 | 40% | 54 | Kennesaw State |
| 13 | Western Michigan | Miami (OH) | 27–23 | +3.5 | 60% | 50 | Western Michigan |
| 13 | Wisconsin | Minnesota | 27–23 | +3.4 | 58% | 50 | Wisconsin |
| 13 | Wyoming | UConn | 23–30 | -6.6 | 46% | 53 | UConn |
| 15 | Army | Navy | 27–28 | -0.6 | 49% | 55 | Navy |